Conventional arms race, wars, growing insecurity and ultimately nuclearization of the region is the consequence of this continual enmity. The conflict between india and pakistan continues to dominate the strategic disunity of south asia, despite global and regional structural changes over the decades. Waltz summary by tais mcneill this article examines the nuclear situation in south asia particularly between pakistan and india 1. All three once pursued nuclear weapons and all face growing security threats from nucleararmed adversaries. First waltz looks at the western view of the situation as an ominous event, which he disagrees with, due to the stability of arms races such as the cold war and the relative international safety of mutually. On 9 march 2015, vcdnp hosted a seminar by mark fitzpatrick, director of the nonproliferation and disarmament programme at the international institute for strategic studies in london, who offered reflections on the security situation in south asia as it relates to the presence of nuclear weapons in the region. While china may have accelerated indias drive to acquire nuclear weapons, pakistan needed. How north korea and the us define denuclearization. Security estimations in south asia 79 according to waltz, since anarchy is the structural determinant, the behaviour of states tends to be suspicious leading to the dominance of relative gains over absolute gains and the inhibition of cooperation. Jul 23, 2014 nuclear testing and the south asia arms race. Has china played any role in nuclearising south asia.
There is reason to believe nuclear capability may make the chances of war worse in south asia. South asian countries need to evolve landuse policies aimed at ensuring. Believing that time was on its side, india implemented. Southern asias nuclear powers council on foreign relations. Nuclear proliferation in south asia asian security. India and pakistan are two countries that, having tussles since the day they emerged on the globe as independent countries in 1947. Strategic stability in south asia challenges and prospects. Technological advances have brought the world to the brink of uncertainty where warfare is. Nuclear deterrence is a factor of stability in south.
It is a known fact that india is also a home to some rebels and extremist groups which add to the dangers it presents for the south asian region and, indeed, the entire world. It is against this background that we need to analyze the nuclear danger in south asia, and the danger south asia poses to the rest of the world. This phenomenon is common to other south asian countries. The nuclear test, three years later, demonstrated delhis potential for nuclear weapons status. The balance of power in south asia can be effectively maintained by keeping the credible nuclear deterrence and securing our strategic asset. The usa may be a possible source of instability in a future crisis. However, in order to preclude any possibility of a nuclear war in south asia, some steps are necessary, including the following. The term denuclearization is also used to describe the process leading to complete nuclear disarmament. More than 50 years ago, such an agreement was proposed by prime minister nehru but was rejected by the pakistani government. Adhikari abstract south asia is gradually heading towards a shortfall of water, which is being exacerbated by growing population, industrialisation, mismanagement, and lack of cooperation. At the same time, the region is once again polarizing into two main camps u. Kim will sit down with south korean president moon jaein on april 27. Based on this criteria, the south asian countries of india. South asia is a region locked up in several conflicts and disputes that have resulted in many wars between india and pakistan.
Nuclear proliferation in south asia asian security studies. The role of nuclear weapons in south asia voice of. Nuclear and missile proliferation issues in south asia 377 annually. South asian politics are going through the profound changes since the announcement of new u. One of the open secrets of the indian security establishment is the evolution of its nuclear weapons capability. For instance, in august 1998 the united states launched a major cruise missile attack against afghanistan from its ships in the arabian sea. Nuclear politics and strategy in south asia south asia.
Jul 07, 2018 seoultokyo reuters us secretary of state mike pompeo held a second day of talks in north korea on saturday july 7 attempting to agree details on how to dismantle the countrys nuclear. Technological advances have brought the world to the brink of uncertainty where warfare is not only fought on economic. The role of nuclear weapons in south asia voice of journalists. A guide to india, pakistan, and the bombis available for free at nuclear south asia is the most comprehensive collection of perspectives regarding india and pakistans nuclear trajectories available online. The consequences of south asias nuclear revolution. Conflict and cooperation on south asian water resources. According to an article in the atlantic magazine, indias intention to acquire nuclear weapons apparently dated back to even before the partition, when jawaharlal nehru, looking forward to. For instance, strains have deepened between south and north korea, south korea and china, and china and the unit ed states.
The two countries of the region, india and pakistan have been engaged in the nuclearization programme. Both sides seek to clarify on denuclearisation as pompeo. Nuclearization of south asia and the future of non. Both states have pushed forward with establishing the institutions, doctrines and delivery systems required to deploy their. Nuclear disarmament is the act of reducing or eliminating nuclear weapons. As a region of burgeoning economic and political importance, south asia offers a crucial test of proliferations effects on the crisis behaviour of newly nuclear states. It can also be the end state of a nuclearweaponsfree world, in which nuclear weapons are completely eliminated. Japan, south korea and taiwan all have robust civilian nuclear energy programmes that make them virtual nuclear powers according to many analysts.
In international relations, then, states tend not to bandwagon but balance against each other. Saarc 25 years of regional integration in south asia konrad. Surprisingly, south asia is the only area where three nuclear weapon states manage to survive while having common frontiers in the case of pakistan vs. The nuclearization of south asia download ebook pdf.
However, strategic stability in south asia has remained elusive and in recent years with the breakdown of the composite dialogue process and growing frequency and intensity of firing incidents across the line of control as well as the working boundary, new challenges to strategic stability have emerged. The implications of a nuclearised south asia daily times. The stimson centers krepon adds, pakistan is a disadvantaged state that. The term denuclearization is also used to describe the process leading to complete nuclear disarmament nuclear disarmament groups include the campaign for nuclear disarmament. First waltz looks at the western view of the situation as an ominous event, which he disagrees with, due to the stability of arms races such as the cold war and the. Without any delay, india and pakistan should sign a nowar pact. The dispute between the two countries has a number of constraints in terms of historical, political and strategic. The fact that the lessons taken from the kargil war and the 2002 crisis by leaders in the two countries have been so very different has important implications for the future of south asia. Two examples in the aftermath of september 11 serve to illustrate this. Impacts of a nuclear war in south asia on rice production. The role of nuclear weapons in south asia may 8, 2015 9.
Nuclearization of south asia and the future of nonproliferation 4 the united state is the major culprit in the erosion of the npt. Summary since the 1998 nuclear tests, india and pakistan have been through a war and a major military crisis, both prominently featuring nuclear threats, making clear that the nuclearization of india and pakistan has not made conventional war obsolete. In the case of pakistan, the motive for nuclearisation seems to be the strategic relationship with india. The basis of the report is recently available information from household surveys in seven of the eight south asian countries i. Nuclearization of south asia and the future of nonproliferation. Introduction security perceptions indias nuclear weapons programme pakistans nuclear weapons programme the missile race atomic tests world reaction to the tests the theory of nuclear deterrence arms control and disarmament measures for nuclear non. The forest resources of pakistan have suffered wanton destruction. Nuclearization of south asia has put forwarded three major challenges that are. Spurring the nuclearisation of south asia south asia journal. A guide to india, pakistan, and the bomb provides the emerging generation of strategic analysts in india, pakistan, and elsewhere a platform to study nuclear competition and dangers on the subcontinent. There is some evidence that early warning systems in south asia are limited in their scope and capabilities. Towards world war iii article pdf available in ssrn electronic journal 562. The question of stability in south asia cannot be isolated from global conventional and nuclear weapons policies. Seoultokyo reuters us secretary of state mike pompeo held a second day of talks in north korea on saturday july 7 attempting to agree details on how to dismantle the countrys nuclear.
Within south asia, india and pakistan have the strongest. Pdf nuclearization of south asia and the future of. Nuclear testing and the south asia arms race the diplomat. The nuclear revolution in south asia is not a single event or even a series of events occurring within a short time frame, such as the french revolution or the russian revolution, but rather a longer term process that is comparable with the industrial revolution. South asia nuclearization, sinopak relations, indias nuclear doctrine, deterrence stability, pakistans nuclear weapons program one of the open secrets of the indian security establishment is the evolution of its nuclear weapons. India emerged from the 1971 war with pakistan as the dominant power of south asia.
Impacts of a nuclear war in south asia on rice production in. Nuclear politics and strategy in south asia south asia journal. Ian hall argues that nuclear stability in south asia from 1998 onward was largely a result of indias military weakness, but he also pointed out that india is unlikely to remain weak for much. How north korea and the us define denuclearization nikkei. In the post world war ii era, us was no longer able to enjoy the status of sole nuclear power in the world when in 1949 the soviets claimed to have this capability. This article was first published by the institute of peace and conflict studies in april 20 keywords. As ties between russia and china, it is apparent that russia is gradually getting rid of the india. The effect of nuclear weapons on the behaviour of newly nuclear states, and the potential for future international crises, are of particular concern. The last fullscale war between india and pakistan was fought in 1971. The strategic culture of south asia is characterized by the hostility between india and pakistan.
India has the ability to reduce nuclear tension in south asia within the current treaty framework. Role of the south asia in the strategic calculations of u. Conflict and cooperation on south asian water resources 45 conflict and cooperation on south asian water resources k. Benefits and challenges of nuclear informationsharing in. The study on assessing the migration, environmental degradation and climate.
In our essay entitled charting nuclear security progress in south asia, we explored whether voluntary declarations on civilian plutonium under the existing infcirc549 guidelines on the management of plutonium would be useful for india and pakistan in the context of reducing risks related to nuclear terrorism. This site is like a library, use search box in the widget to get ebook that you want. South asia nuclearization, sinopak relations, indias nuclear doctrine, deterrence stability, pakistans nuclear weapons program. South asia remains a region very vulnerable to climate change and. South asias hotspots open knowledge repository world bank. By zia mian, foreign policy in focus, june 1, 2002. South asia, strategic stability, deterrence, cold start, war fighting doctrines, existential threat. Soon after 1971, india displayed its nuclear capability in. The proliferation of nuclear technology in south asia the south asian region was hard hit by all the above identified means of proliferation. While claiming to be protecting the world from proliferation threats in iraq, libya, iran and north korea they also have abandoned past pledges and now threaten first use of nuclear weapons against non. India and pakistan fought in 1948, 1965, 1971, and 1999. Pakistan, bangladesh and sri lanka, in addition to the philippines, appear well positioned to lead the. To reach the targets, scores of missiles flew long distances over pakistan. Tokyo kyodo the leaders of japan, china and south korea plan to issue a joint document next week focused on trilateral cooperation for the denuclearization of.
Modernize the south asia nuclear facility nonattack agreement toby dalton introduction on january 1, 2017, indian and pakistani diplomats exchanged official lists of the nuclear facilities located in their respective countries. Click download or read online button to get the nuclearization of south asia book now. A comparative study of nuclear doctrines of india and pakistan. Apr, 2018 in our essay entitled charting nuclear security progress in south asia, we explored whether voluntary declarations on civilian plutonium under the existing infcirc549 guidelines on the management of plutonium would be useful for india and pakistan in the context of reducing risks related to nuclear terrorism. It is a known fact that nuclear disarmament, nuclear nonproliferation, and the threat of nuclear terrorism are among the most critical challenges facing the world today. The nuclearization of south asia matinuddin, kamal on. The policy of russia towards south asia has recently become the subject of numerous speculations. Nuclearization, south asia, discourse analysis, the hindustan times, dawn introduction the nuclearization of south asia is a post independence phenomenon. The first nuclear learning coursenuclear south asia. To match this threatening environment both pakistan and india has opted nuclear arms. India and pakistans nuclear programmes were impelled by quite.
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